Sometimes You Just Know

I'll follow up on my last post later this week. Just wanted to share this post before I forget.

I've been playing the $10 KO SNGs lately as I've had success in the past at the $3.30 variety. These are super high variance because 95% of the players are uber donks, making for some interesting calls and glorious suckouts. I missed out on a couple pots when AJ lost on a two outer to Q9 AIPF, even with a JJQ flop, then split another pot with the same donk with AQ vs A8. Table was fairly chatty so I joined in out of boredom:

Full Tilt Poker Game #7420915057: $10 + $1 KO Sit & Go (56433657), Table 1 - 100/200 - No Limit Hold'em - 2:42:31 ET - 2008/07/29
Seat 1: ribs104 (1,410)
Seat 2: Sapino (6,050)
Seat 3: mclarich (4,585)
Seat 4: mikeg2006 (14,380)
Seat 5: Nuggetplay13 (3,700)
Seat 7: tommyboy1951 (1,995)
Seat 8: 1Diago (2,080)
Seat 9: Bold__Ruler (18,545), is sitting out
Bold__Ruler posts the small blind of 100
ribs104 posts the big blind of 200
The button is in seat #8
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to mclarich [3c 9c]
Sapino folds
mclarich: i'm destined to lose this one
mclarich folds
mikeg2006 folds
Nuggetplay13 raises to 700
mclarich: 2 outers on river, splitting pots with A8
tommyboy1951 raises to 1,995, and is all in
1Diago folds
Bold__Ruler folds
ribs104 folds
Nuggetplay13 calls 1,295
tommyboy1951 shows [Qd Ks]
Nuggetplay13 shows [7d 7s]
*** FLOP *** [8d 3s 3h]
*** TURN *** [8d 3s 3h] [5s]
*** RIVER *** [8d 3s 3h 5s] [Js]
tommyboy1951 shows a pair of Threes
Nuggetplay13 shows two pair, Sevens and Threes
Nuggetplay13 wins the pot (4,290) with two pair, Sevens and Threes
tommyboy1951 stands up
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 4,290 | Rake 0
Board: [8d 3s 3h 5s Js]
Seat 1: ribs104 (big blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 2: Sapino didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: mclarich didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: mikeg2006 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 5: Nuggetplay13 showed [7d 7s] and won (4,290) with two pair, Sevens and Threes
Seat 7: tommyboy1951 showed [Qd Ks] and lost with a pair of Threes
Seat 8: 1Diago (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 9: Bold__Ruler (small blind) folded before the Flop

Very Next Hand:

Full Tilt Poker Game #7420920041: $10 + $1 KO Sit & Go (56433657), Table 1 - 100/200 - No Limit Hold'em - 2:43:09 ET - 2008/07/29
Seat 1: ribs104 (1,210)
Seat 2: Sapino (6,050)
Seat 3: mclarich (4,585)
Seat 4: mikeg2006 (14,380)
Seat 5: Nuggetplay13 (5,995)
Seat 8: 1Diago (2,080)
Seat 9: Bold__Ruler (18,445), is sitting out
ribs104 posts the small blind of 100
Sapino posts the big blind of 200
The button is in seat #9
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to mclarich [Jh Jc]
mclarich raises to 600
mikeg2006 folds
Nuggetplay13 folds
1Diago folds
Bold__Ruler folds
ribs104 folds
Sapino has 15 seconds left to act
Sapino calls 400
*** FLOP *** [2s 3c Tc]
Sapino has 15 seconds left to act
Sapino bets 5,450, and is all in
mclarich calls 3,985, and is all in
Sapino shows [Td Kc]
mclarich shows [Jh Jc]
Uncalled bet of 1,465 returned to Sapino
*** TURN *** [2s 3c Tc] [8s]
*** RIVER *** [2s 3c Tc 8s] [Th]
Sapino shows three of a kind, Tens
mclarich shows two pair, Jacks and Tens
Sapino wins the pot (9,270) with three of a kind, Tens
mclarich stands up
ribs104 stands up
Sapino stands up
mikeg2006 stands up
Nuggetplay13 stands up
1Diago stands up
Bold__Ruler stands up
mclarich (Observer): told ya

Why is it that my clairvoyant powers only activate when I know I'm gonna get sucked out on?